I have to agree a bit. I am not a weather expert by any means however, I just took a Met. Class and was wondering the same thing myself. I was looking for paths for Hurricane Elana who did something similar. Well, she stalled until she was able to find a way in. I know she was closer to the gulf coast but she was out in Gulf for several days from what I remember of it(I was eight at the time so, I don't remember alot). It just seems to me when you look at all the factors steering this storm(or not steering right now) she may make more of a turn than expected. I would hope that she doesn't because that brings it closer to me.