#100 Published Friday August 27, 2005 at 7:00 pm EDT
http://www.kn4lf.com/flwx1.htm

Looking at latest satellite imagery CAT 3 Katrina is continuing to undergo an eyewall reformation cycle and has not strengthened in quite a while. She also appears to have become stationary or maybe is drifting slightly north of west or 280 deg. at 2-3 mph but it could be a trochoidal wobble.

I see no reason to change my landfall forecast that has been in effect since Friday evening, of between Mobile, AL and Fort Walton Beach, FL with a bulls eye on Gulf Breeze, FL on Monday 08/29/05.

I still think the easier forecast of the two is intensity. With very warm Gulf Of Mexico water temperature including the loop current ahead and as very little wind shear is forecasted, Katrina could easily reach a strong CAT 4 before landfall. But she could weaken back to a CAT 3 after leaving the loop current and also due to increased wind shear, prior to landfall, much like CAT 4 Opal did in 1995.