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Quote: If Katrina strengths overnight and heads toward the FWB/Destin area... well, I don't want to think about that possibility. One thing I just thought of: I wasn't alive in 1969, but as I understand it, people in the FWB area went to bed believing that Camille was headed toward them. Then in the morning the storm had turned toward the Mississippi coast. Hurricane Opal in 1995 was headed for a direct hit on New Orleans when I went to bed in Pensacola (I was in school at UWF at the time) - woke up and found out we were under a hurricane warning and evacuated that afternoon to Val-P, and still got slammed. Storms have a tendancy to change direction without warning. Update: Pressure back down to 944. Here's the recon report: URNT12 KNHC 272257 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 27/22:44:30Z B. 24 deg 49 min N 085 deg 36 min W C. 700 mb 2604 m D. NA kt E. NA deg nm F. 287 deg 083 kt G. 207 deg 028 nm H. EXTRAP 944 mb I. 12 C/ 2745 m J. 19 C/ 2746 m K. 12 C/ NA L. RAGGED M. E12/40/30 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 2 nm P. AF306 WX12A KATRINA01 OB 12 MAX FL WIND 101 KT E QUAD 21:38:40 Z SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB RAGGED EYE STRUCTURE APPEARS TO BE CONSOLIDATING 24 deg 49 min, 85 deg 36 min now. At 5pm it was 24.6, 85.6. There are 60 minutes in a degree aren't there? So that equals 24. 816, 85.6. There is your northward motion, it appears. Someone feel free to correct me if I'm wrong. |