2327Z GFDL update is out, shows path just west of the LA coast - basically the same as the NHC last advisory. This is a SLIGHT eastward motion from the last GFDL run (statistically insignificant, but there.)

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_12.gif

Note that the GFDL pegged the SW jog over the peninsula - it was a bit too fast with it, but it was the only model that picked it up - it seems to have a better handle on the rest of the weather map and its influence on this particular storm.....

(Edited to fix the link - the original site has some kind of problem, so I went back to the original source.)