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In the many years that I have been watching these storms, I would not expect to see a track shift at 11pm. They will wait to see if this trend continues for another 6 hours (basically until 5am). However, if you see the hurricane watch expand further east, you may get an inkling of what they are thinking. I would expect to see TS Watches/Warnings go up in the watch area and further east. **Sidenote: everytime I try to predict what the NHC will/will not do, I am usually wrong. So take this with a grain (or shaker) of salt. |