Margie
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Sun Aug 28 2005 12:40 PM
Re: 908 MB

Quote:

HOWEVER, the one thing that could knock this down a bit in damage: a landfall during an ERC.


I thought of that, but last night read somewhere that when they become annular like this they can go for a long time without an ERC. Isabel was annular for 24hrs, and a Cat 5 for 42hrs straight.

What is driving this is the "near perfect" conditions for intensification. They aren't going to change, so it is what it is, right up to landfall. We can hope for an ERC but possibly now the conditions are such that one is very unlikely? Can anyone provide some guidance on this?

Edit -- I suspect a new topic soon - Kat a Cat 5?

Also -- just saw the first daylight visual sat image of this, and WOW. There are no words. Incredible.


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