(Weather Analyst)

Thu Sep 01 2005 05:23 PM

Re: Tropical Depression 14 Forms in Central Atlantic, No Threat to Land

Quote:

The gfdl model guidance of 92L sure does paint a scary picture. Hope it is wrong. http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi-...;hour=Animation

Here in Maryland I do NOT like that track.

It's showing a 918mb 133kt storm heading toward the east coast in 5 days.

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As for SST mixing, it doesn't look like it. While the SSTs have fallen a little in the Gulf, they still are very high: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/sst-pac-loop.html

You can also look at the hourly scans of SSTs, but these are highly effected by cloudcover:
http://marine.rutgers.edu/cool/sat_data/?product=sst&region=gulfmexico&nothumbs=0