quick rundown this morning:
lee is being tracked as a remnant low right now... they'll issue forecasts on it again if it redevelops convection, but for now it's just a swirl.
14L should be maria when the advisory comes out.. shortly. it's been persistent and shows the organizational structure typical of a tropical storm in a decreasing shear environment. consensus track is still out into the north atlantic to the east of bermuda. may interact with the developing low pressure area to the west.
92L had a substantial amount of convection last night on its western side that has mostly sheared off.. today it's a broad circulation with scattered convection nearby. still getting easterly shear but less so as time progresses. the system is taking a low trajectory.. and not developing as quickly as numerous models have been suggesting, so the long-term effect may be for a more southerly track. it has fair to good chances of development.
the complex feature shown on models off the east coast has more model consensus on it now... most are developing a two-pronged sort of strung out trough with a northward-moving low out near bermuda, and another weaker low trying to develop near the bahamas or straits of florida. not sure how accurate the overhung trough depicted off the east coast is as it may split.. rather than just hang like a shield off the east coast. still too far ahead to filter out the fine details.
HF 1433z02september