Brad in Miami
(Storm Tracker)
Fri Sep 02 2005 07:02 PM
Re: Future Systems

Continued thoughts and well-wishes to all affected by Katrina.

For those who care, regarding the Atlantic/Caribbean features HF and Clark have discussed, here is a portion of this afternoon's discussion from the Miami NWS office:

GLOBAL MODELS...ESPECIALLY INCLUDING THE GFS AND NOGAPS
SOLUTIONS...DEEPEN THE WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESENTLY ANALYZED NEAR
30N/77W EARLY NEXT WEEK. OTHERS SUCH AS THE ECMWF AND CMC ARE LESS
ROBUST WITH LOW...HOWEVER THEY STILL INDICATE ELONGATED EAST-WEST
ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH IN ROUGHLY THE SAME AREA. INITIALLY THIS
LOW WILL SERVE TO BRING DRIER AND COOLER AIR INTO SOUTH FLORIDA
LATE THIS WEEKEND (PERHAPS TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS 3-4 DEGREES
COOLER). THE EFFECT ON LATER PERIODS OF THE FORECAST IS MORE
UNCERTAIN...WITH RAIN CHANCES POSSIBLY INCREASING BY MID-WEEK
SHOULD THIS SYSTEM MOVE CLOSER TO US.



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