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I think HF, and possibly Clark and/or Steve, mentioned the possibility of up to 3 distinct lows forming from the complex pattern in the Atlantic/Caribbean. Good call, and fascinating to see this come to fruition. From the 805pm NHC discussion: WEST ATLANTIC... A COMPLEX SCENARIO IS SHAPING UP OVER THE W ATLC WATERS. THREE DISTINCT SURFACE LOWS ARE OBSERVED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE ISOBARIC ANALYSIS...A 1011 MB LOW E OF JACKSONVILLE NEAR 31N77W...1010 MB LOW NEAR 28N70W...AND A 1011 MB LOW S OF BERMUDA NEAR 31N64W. . . . THE LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE SAME NEIGHBORHOOD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BUT THEN THE GFS RIPS ONE LOW NEWD INTO THE N ATLC AND A SECOND LOW DRIFTS WWD TOWARDS FLORIDA (BUT STILL SITTING OFF THE COAST BY LATE WED). THE ULTIMATE OUTCOME WILL LARGELY DEPEND ON WHERE AND IF DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTS...SO STAY TUNED IN THE COMING DAYS. |