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Obviously there is a lot of divergence in the models right now without an established center, but in the absence of any forecasts from the NHC, the HPC is going with the GFS and GFDL solutions (some of the better models this year) which take the low into the upper Gulf Region by day 5. Not a pretty picture if it pans out... You can check it out at this link... http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/9lh.gif |