| cjzydeco |
| (Weather Guru) |
| Mon Sep 05 2005 09:34 PM |
|
Wave Off FL Coast
|
Today's discussion of the wave off the e. coast of Fl from Melbourne NWS.
Quote:
IR AND VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED A FLARE UP OF CONVECTION OVER THE NW BAHAMAS THIS MORNING BUT THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF MIA. SO FAR...A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS NOT BEEN CLEARLY IDENTIFIED SO THE HURRICANE CENTER HAS NOT UPGRADED THIS TO A DEPRESSION AT THIS TIME. ONE COULD FORM IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE 12Z GFDL BRINGS THE SYSTEM TO MIA WHERE IT DISSIPATES IT IN 48 HOURS. SOME BETA ADVECTION MODELS BRING IT NW ACROSS CENT FL AND INTO THE NE GULF OF MEXICO OR UP THE FL EAST COAST. THE MOTION LOOKS TO BE QUITE SLOW SO WE WILL BE CONTENDING WITH CLOUDS AND MOISTURE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WHICH WILL KEEP MAX TEMPS A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
Sure gave us quite a deluge here in Vero last night and this morning. Has been overcast, raining and gusting all day. How do models do with something this unorganized?