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Welcome back Danny! Not too much to add to HF's discussion (quite frankly, I've been out all day and haven't had the chance to look at any hurricanes other than those of the Miami persuasion), though I'd watch 92L down the line. It's on the cyclonic shear side (i.e. north side) of some low-level crossequatorial flow and should remain that way into the western Caribbean. Simply put, there's a little bit of extra oomph in the low-level to help start a circulation. Once it slows down a little and gets into a slightly better environment, it could get going again (like it had been forecast to do before). Most likely a western Gulf threat down the line; may end up even like the other three in the southern Gulf. Maria helps add some oomph to the seasonal numbers; that's 4 major hurricanes now. Nate's not a threat to do that, but it could perk up to near hurricane intensity as it most likely heads out. Right now, a threat to Bermuda down the line...don't think it heads this way. More once I calm down and get a chance to look at things, probably in a day or so. |