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Actually, the center of activity is further to the east. Weak developing systems often have two or three centers of rotation - usually they only last for a few hours. The Miami radar was picking up one of them - but its not the main player. Except for a well developed hurricane, radar is not the best tool for locating the center - primarily because of the radar beam height as it slices through the storm (in this case, at an altitude of over 3,000 feet). Invest 94L is slowly becoming better organized this morning with some low level banding features and good convection (mostly north of the center). Pressure is down to 1009mb at Freeport on Grand Bahama Island and the wind is out of the northeast. At Nassau, the wind is out of the southwest. At the Settlement Point Buoy on GBI, the wind has been brisk out of the north northeast. The 12Z coordinates used by NOAA for the model runs were 26.5N 78.5W - which seem reasonable. Here is a link to the buoy at Settlement Point: NOAA Settlement Point Buoy, Grand Bahama Island I expect that this system will soon be upgraded to a Tropical Depression with slow intensification and erratic but slow movement to the northwest. The initial Advisory - probably at 11am - will help to clarify this. Cheers, ED |