Here's my thoughts.

Looking at the Water Vapor image:
http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USNatio...mp;prodnav=none

I don't see anything in the United States that would push Ophelia out to sea.

I do see a ridge of high pressure building to the north of the storm, although it is not a very strong ridge.

Based on that, Ophelia will turn slowly to the west in the next 24 hrs, strenghten to a strong cat 1 and come in somewhere between Daytona & Jacksonville, and move slowly across the state, following the bottom of the high pressure.

Let me know your thoughts.