| Hugh |
| (Senior Storm Chaser) |
| Wed Sep 07 2005 07:21 PM |
Re: Tropical Storm Ophelia Forms off Florida East Coast
|
Quote:
The last model to suggest something like the Accuweather forecast was the 06Z GFDL (and it was an outlier). The 12Z GFDL was much further north and the other 12Z models forecasted some sort of cyclonic loop with no landfall anywhere.
The 18Z GFS actually takes Ophelia right out to sea (no loop back towards the coast) beginning in about 24 hours. It would be nice if that verifies.
You know it's not gonna happen, though. I wouldn't be surprised if we were still asking ourselves "Where the *** is Ophelia going to go?" next Tuesday.
Update: MLB radar now shows 3/4 of an eyewall forming... all it's missing is the east side ... and that is even starting to "fill in" if you will. We could have Hurricane Ophelia by sunrise, I think.