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The latest recon fix puts it at 30.1 N, 77.4 W, which is already further east than it was supposed to get at any point in the forecast track from the last advisory. It would be funny if it just kept going out to sea after all of this, but we probably won't get that lucky. There has been another burst of convection near the center, albeit a relatively small one. Latest recon had it at 983 mb, which is about where it was before. At this stage of its development, it doesn't need really intense convection to maintain itself, but it won't intensify too much without increasing the convection from where it was earlier. |