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As of this time, there's no reason to doubt the reasoning that SC/NC will get hit. Where in that area is still up for discussion and will largely depend on when the storm starts its predicted turn.
I agree. Looking at the VIS imagery, Ophelia is moving exactly on the NHC 5am ET foreacast track - or as exactly on it as an untrained eye can tell. The turn to the West should begin within a few hours, if that situation holds - if it has not already begun. Interesting thing, though.... the forecast calls for a turn from due west to WNW a day or so after the west turn. I feel like it could hit anywhere from Jacksonville north... if it doesn't stall or turn again!
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