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Thanks for your input RC & ED. I just checked the latest recon data. Looks like she is mighty sick right now. Pressure up to 988mb. Another concern is that after watching these storms for over 30 yrs in this area is the Gulf Stream. I remember Alex from last year when it blew up to 90 kts seemingly over night. It seems to me taht the shear has lessened a bit so the only inhibiting factor for intensification is the upwelling of water but yet it will be moving over waters that it has not yet traveled over as it approaches the coast line. I also checked the latest vis sat and it appears to me that the dry air that had been entrained may beginning to get closer to the coc. My thought is that it may actually weaken until the dry air gets out then a more modest strenghtening after the next 6-12 hours. Anyone have any thought on this? |