Myles
(Weather Hobbyist)
Mon Sep 12 2005 08:08 PM
Re: Ophelia

I dont think Ophelia is going to do much strengthing. It looks like, to me, that she will continue to be borderline tropical storm/hurricane all that way until landfall with many fluctuations inbetween. I say this, because even though it has a fairly favorable enviornment for strengthing around it; and outflow appears to be returning to west side, there is just so much dry air around her. I think whenever Ophelia tries to strengthen she will ingest dry air into the core and unwind itself again like it has over the last 24 hours. It's kinda a catch 22; strengthen, take in dry air, weaken and filter the dry air, strengthen, ingest dry air again, ect, ect. Unless that dry air goes away she doesnt look to have an opportunity to really pick things up before landfall.


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