I think it's more scary that we are calling the current period "inactive" and the coming MJO induced period to be "active." If this isn't "active," I don't want to see what is...

As for future development, there is a wave in the Atlantic that looks like it might develop once it gets out of the SAL. Models are developing it as it nears the Carribean, so JB might not be so wrong as he usually is. This wave has been tried to be snuffed out by the SAL, and the wave fought back against a weakening SAL and now looks better than at anytime since it left Africa.

--RC