Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Wed Sep 14 2005 05:11 PM
Ophelia

12Z GFS appears to be further left compared to its previous runs, though it still takes the storm east of Cape Cod in about 72 hours. It may take awhile for the storm to weaken significantly, assuming interaction with land doesn't do it in as it passes along the NC coast. Outflow will temporarily be enhanced by the approaching trough and then favorable baroclinic influences should keep it as an intense cyclone as it gradually becomes extratropical.

Even if it still has minimal hurricane or strong tropical storm intensity as it approaches New England, though, the strongest winds will likely be displaced to the eastern half of the system by then, so it will have to take a track a fair amount west of what is currently expected for anyone up there to get some significant impacts from this system.



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