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Beaumont, Last 850 vort model runs on FSU site: 18Z GFDL and GFS and 12Z UKMET have 95L NE of Lesser Antilles @ approx 20N/55W in 5-6 days. 12z NOGAPS shows 95L further west just off northeastern PR @approx 22N/65W in 5-6 days. 12Z CMC in 3 days has 95L moving NW approaching the northern Lesser Antilles. My take as of now--no threat to the Gulf. Probable fish spinner. The more interesting feature for us Gulf dwellers, however, is the current tropical wave near PR which majority of the models want to take into the Gulf next week (that's the monkey in the middle HF referred to last night). Bears watching. |