Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Sat Sep 17 2005 09:41 AM
Re: We now have our 17th Depression

Quote:

So far all the models are tracking both systems away from Florida. Do you guys agree that that's the most likely scenerio? It's getting too active out there.

Thanks!




uh.... at least one - and possibly 2 - of the models are tracking 96L into or just south of the Keys and then turning it northward. Long term that could indicate an impact in the Panhandle (where I am!).

The soon-to-be TD 17/Phillippe (Lyons on the weather channel was indicating that winds at the surface are already T.S. strength and his prediction was that the system would bypass T.D. status and go directly to T.S.) appears to be an island problem and then a fish spinner, hopefully. Although the models longer term I think turn it back to the west from what I have heard.

i'm wondering which models you're looking at. i haven't checked the dynamical ones, but the globals all pretty much show it zipping out into the gulf wsw towards mexico. i'll go take a look, but think you're mistaken. -HF



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