Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Sat Sep 17 2005 03:46 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Seventeen forms East of the Leeward Islands

Even if a super-intense hurricane develops as in the GFDL model, the heat content in most of the northern Gulf would not support anything near that intensity, with the possible exception of the far NW Gulf, so chances are very good the storm would weaken if it approaches the U.S. coast. The greatest risk in the short term is if 96L ends up a little further north than expected and affects the Keys or south Florida.


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