scottsvb
(Weather Master)
Sat Sep 17 2005 06:25 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Seventeen forms East of the Leeward Islands

Just a quick note on the 2 systems of intrest. Gfdl is exactly what Hank said. It changes from run to run on systems that are below TS strength, dont buy in or speculate on how strong 97l will get until it makes it to a TS. Movement looks right, wnw with a bend w towards the keys or homestead area in 3-4days. It should enter the SE Gulf by Weds or Thurs. A strong ridge currently over the N gulf is expected to slide westard late next week and a trough will dig down over the SE into next weekend. It could be steer then N towards w central florida or the panhandle closing in on next weekend or the trough might not be strong enough and it will move w or even wsw towards the western gulf and mexico next weekend. Too early to tell and also matters on the speed of the system over the next 3-4days.
TD16 should become a hurricane by Monday or Tuesday and move in a general direction towards bermuda. Again a trough entering the Se the end of next week and a strong ridge over 50-60W next week will push anything slowly NNW-N. Intrests though in the near term of the NE lesser Antilles should moniter the TD for TS force winds Sunday night into Monday.

scottsvb



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