Looks like the center of TD18 (Rita?) is about 50 miles N-NE of the NHC 11 AM position. Based on this re-location of the center, I would expect a northward track adjustment at 5PM, assuming that the originally forecasted track remains the same. This would put the landfall somewhere in the Upper Keys in about 48-60 hours. Of course, 2-3 days out there could still be some adjustment so SE FL is certainly not out of the woods by any means.