emackl
(Storm Tracker)
Sun Sep 18 2005 03:10 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Eighteen Forms East of the Bahamas

Interesting tidbit from the HPC! Who was it that wanted rain for the west side of Fl..?..LOL!

"WITH OTHER FEATURES... T.D. 18 IS FCST TO REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH
AND BE LOCATED OVER THE SERN GULF OF MEXICO BY THE START OF THE
MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD. TPC/NHC TRACK FROM THE 09Z ADVISORY IS
REASONABLY CLOSE TO THE 00Z GFS FOR DAYS 3-5... SO FOLLOWED THE
GFS FOR EXTRAPOLATION INTO TX FOR THE DAYS 6-7 FCST. 06Z GFS
CONCURRS WITH PREVIOUS RUNS. DGEX STILL HAVING PROBLEMS WITH TOO
MUCH TROF/SHEAR AXIS DROPPING INTO THE SOUTHEAST DAYS 3 TO 4
RESULTING IN SPLITTING T.D. 18 INTO TWO PULLING ONE PIECE INTO
WRN FL WITH EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WHILE REAL CENTER TRAVELS WEST IN
REASONABLE AGREEMENET WITH OTHER MODEL SOLUTIONS.


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