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From the latest recon 1: Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 67 KT N Quadrant at 23:16:50 Z 2: SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MB 3: EYE FEATURE FORMING ON NORTH SIDE, ABOUT 40% COMPLETE
That was fast! If this recon is legit they'll probably do an update before 11.
They just did an update at 7pm CT. I doubt that they'll do another update unless there is additional information. 67 knots at 850 MB flight level is 61.64 mph, though, by my math. This thing could be a 'cane by the 2am ET intermediate advisory, if not sooner, at this rate.
ETA: WOAH! The new BAMM just got posted to WU... and it freaks me out! Has Rita tracking along the extreme south tip of the peninsula and continuing northwest toward the Louisiana Delta region... almost exactly where Katrina slammed into (albeit from a different angle). This is just one model and just one run of that model... but, OUCH!
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