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on the link you provided is the orange mist that runs horizontally across the state fron just south of ft myers to just north of cedar key dry air? or outflow? and is this what will keep the storm substantially south of ft. myers? Thanks!
The orange on water vapor indicates very dry air. Or at least that's my understanding. Will leave it to the much more informed mets on here to say whether that is what the NHC thinks would keep it on a more westerly track, but yes, I think that is at least part of it. As long as that is there, I think it shoves the storm to the west. Again, listen to the mets on here more than us amateurs. We get it right sometimes. But usually by accident.
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Re: Tropical Depression Eighteen Forms East of the Bahamas