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HCW, Not an expert, but given the upper air pattern and the deepening storm, you have to remember that these storms make their own winds to direct them as well. Depending on the strength, well you can draw your own conclusions. But looking at the models since conception, they have been trending right as the system progresses to the WNW. Does it mean a direct hit, absolutely not, but they are in the cone of uncertainity, and for that, it must be adhered to. |