I'm a newbie here too. There are some very brilliant people hear who would agree that the only constant is change.

I don't think a 50 mile jump hits Broward dead on, but it can have an effect. I'm in Delray & until 6:00PM we were getting a real storn from Katrina. Then, the storm "jumped" south 30 miles and it was just a little breezy. I remember the weatherman outside at A1A and Atlantic trying to invent a storm when people were outside eating.

It's not the models shifting, they only run a various times, its Rita. She doesn't really care what the models think.