Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Mon Sep 19 2005 08:10 PM
Re: Rita interfacing with the Cuban Coast?

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Looks like a big blowup of convection right now. I have a feeling once it clears Andros Island we'll see some rapid deepening. I'm still shocked it hasn't happened yet, the longer it takes the better.


I seriously doubt you are going to see explosive deepening. I really don't think we will be looking at a borderline Cat 3 by morning. I expect pressure drop to 975mb, possibly 970mb, by tomorrow, but I think a drop to 965mb or more would be pushing it.



I'm thinking it will be a strong cat 1 or borderline 2 by morning. Maybe Cat 3 on 36 hours. It's got a long way to go before it's a cat 3, but it's definately showing signs of getting there.

ETA: based upon radar, it looks like it's moving north of west to wnw now.


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