Thanks...I've been waiting for the recon info. Well then don't you think it will still be pretty iffy to go with hurricane strength at the 11pm? The last recon found 67kt max flt winds before the 8pm update and NHC saw no reason to upgrade from TS strength. With the westward movement you'd expect the NW quad to be the fastest winds.

Steve Gregory's blog went with hurricane strength both at 11am and tonight at 7pm (after the recon with the 993mb and 67kt flt wind), and I disagreed both times.

Now unless pressure dropped considerably and they find max flt winds like 70kt, even with the improved presentation on satellite and Dvorak close to 4.5, I don't see hurricane strength. The only argument might be to get the message out to people earlier who might not be evacuating, since we can assume it will get to hurricane strength by the 5am full advisory, but they'll all be asleep by then.