Clark
(Meteorologist)
Tue Sep 20 2005 02:22 AM
Re: 11pm strike probability anomoly / South Miami conditions tonight

Lightning and tropical cyclone strength/intensity are not very well correlated. Lightning activity deals with charge separation and ice content; perhaps with very cold cloud tops (e.g. a greater amount of ice -- note that it takes temperatures to -40C before all water in the upper atmosphere is frozen; the reasoning behind that is best saved for another day) you could be seeing a bit more lightning, but otherwise intensity change and lightning aren't very well correlated.


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