Well she didn't get it tog overnight. I should have got that. Last night I caved just before I went to bed and overestimated how quickly she'd be coming along by this morning. She does look better than when I went to bed though, definitely better organized. Now it looks like mid-morning before reaching hurricane status, then I don't see how she could strengthen too much in the GOM until she gets out as far as say 87W (less shear, a little bit of warmer water). She's going faster than I thought so instead of Wed night / Thurs morning, I guess we're looking at that happening earlier, but again not staying that strong all the way to landfall. Well at least I'm seeing the more westward trend that I thought from yesterday evening.

edit -- seeing a ragged but definite center of circ on Keys long-range radar