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The 12Z GFDL brings the pressure down to around 938 mb in 36 hours, followed by slow weakening to a storm around 952 mb at landfall near Freeport, TX in about 90 hours. That is about 6-8 mb lower along the path than in the last run, so it is depicting a stronger system developing. It has been fairly consistent about bringing a 950-960 mb storm into Texas, which would typically correspond to a cat 3 intensity system. |