MikeC
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| (Admin) |
| Tue Sep 20 2005 02:15 PM |
Re: Category 2
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Quote:
What are the chances of Rita following a path similar to the one Kate did in 1985? They both formed in about the same location, on 11/20 Kate was located at 23.9 & 83.5 (which is almost 2 degrees west of where Rita is now) and on 11/22 Kate was at 30.2 & 85.1 (just west of Tallahassee, Florida). I looked in the NHC archives and it said although Kate was a late November storm, the weather conditions and sea surface temperatures were more like what you would find in late September.
Fairly low, the momentum toward the west right now is a bit too much to see a Kate like forecast. And the situation is different in the air patterns, i'd bet further west or south over north and that far east if anything.
See Kate/Rita plotted:
http://flhurricane.com/googlemap.php?2005s18-1985s11