Ok...

Dvorak estimates of 6.0 from SSD indicate a cat 4. Sat appearance looks excellent. We need a recon, and there won't be one for a few more hours, if they can find a working plane. There are supposed to be 6 hour fixes today - and the 06Z flight was canceled. Problem? 12Z fix is supposed to be the same flight that did the 06Z recon...er...I HOPE they get something up there soon. Maybe Airforce will get some of their hurricane hunters up with NOAA's not working?

GFS and CMC models are worrisome. GFS stalls the storm just after it crosses the coast...as if wind and storm surge weren't enough! CMC stalls the storm further north, over Oklahoma. We could have another Francis-like flooding situation coming up.