Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Wed Sep 21 2005 06:39 PM
SHIPS

Latest SHIPS output brings the storm to 142 knots in 24 hours, then drops it down to 131 knots by 60 hours and 109 knots (68 kts in DSHIPS) by 72 hours, with landfall occurring somewhere in between. I'm not sure how relevant the model output is anymore, though... unpredictable processes like ERCs are going to have as much effect on the intensity from here on out as the environmental conditions, though the latter will modulate how much the storm will be able to recover if it goes into a weakening phase.


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