Clark
(Meteorologist)
Wed Sep 21 2005 04:32 PM
Re: 4 frames now

Eyewall replacement cycle is still some time away. Updated microwave imagery suggest that the makings of an outer eyewall are about 50-60% complete with no inward movement noted. The outer eyewall has to form before it starts moving inward, then it takes some time before the cycle actually completes with the new eyewall. The storm can still intensify and/or maintain itself up to the point where the inner eyewall begins to collapse -- technically about 75% through the cycle but the starting point of what we normally consider the eyewall replacement. I think there are about another 12hr, 18hr max before we get to that point. There's a chance the storm gets below 900mb.


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