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wouldn't suprise me to see 175...even 185 winds in the next advisory...
It'll be interesting to see what our marina water level is....I'm sure the tides will be higher with her churning stuff up.
I'm guessing in the 895mb range...maybe lower...and a peak intensity of 190...gusts to 220...
we'll see....
Galveston, oh Galveston....
I'd be surprised if the intensity were less than 175, since based upon the last recon my math said it was 170 an hour after the 4pm CT advisory. Given the recent intensification rate, 180 is more in line for the 7pm CT intermediate advisory. Camille is estimated to have had 190 mph winds (although the pressure was not this low). If nothing changes, I think Rita will max out as the most powerful hurricane in the Atlantic Basin, based on both wind and pressure... and it'll hit that tomorrow, I think.
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Re: Recon