| Hugh |
| (Senior Storm Chaser) |
| Wed Sep 21 2005 08:33 PM |
Re: ridging to the north
|
Quote:
That's the point...I understand the HAVE to make sure...but the majority of the public doesn't read message boards such as these & they believe what they're being told as set in stone...may have even learned after Charley to focus on the cone & not the line...but oh my...can you imagine if this is going beyond the cone?!?!
Look at the NAmerican...think thats the name...water vapor loop...you can clearly see her just pushing it right on out of her way.
Not wishcasting, jumping on a bandwagon, hyping, scaring or anything else...just making an observation. Please correct me if I'm wrong.
Yeah, after all of the hurricanes I've been through that have threatened the area I live in, I take the cone with a tiny grain of salt, and I ignore the black line pretty much. Not saying anyone should do either, and with modern computers the forecasts are lots better than they used to be, but storms like this are so rare they don't have sufficient data to be able to forecast them 100% accurately. To do as well as they do is amazing, really.
Rita is now due north almost of the first forecast point on SSD's loops.
Update: New models spread between Galveston and just west of the TX/LA line, it appears. That's a definate shift in the northeast outliers.