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IR is looking a bit more ragged with every frame. It's lost most of the deep convection. While there appears to be dry air trying to get in on the western side, it is no where far enough in to affect the deep convection. I'd say we're seeing the results of either cooler water or internal dynamics. Amazingly the eye still seems perfectly round and is extremely well defined. We are down to a 15 degree difference for the eye-eyewall temps...but the eye itself is still an amazingly high 29C. That the eyewall has pushed itself to 14C is the more interesting part - what's causing it to warm so rapidly? --RC |