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Yeah - that would make sense. I didn't see any sign of an ERC in either recon or IR, but an ERC would explain the weakening and the shrinking eye (barely...but still).
An ERC at this stage isn't good - too early to weaken her much. Should have waited another 12 hours to guarentee weekening.
No kidding. It's also lopsided for an ERC. Looking at the WV loop, dry air is more likely, but I don't like that either because of the direction of outflow on WV... and the slowdown in movement that seems to be happening.
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Re: Rita Chugs Westward with 175MPH Winds