was initially what I thought......and when I posted I thought New Orleans was NOT out of the woods....it was bashed.

not now.

Texas is spared......

hopefully she will weaken to a 3

New Orleans is in her sights....I'm afraid...maybe east of that....and not much time now....

I wouldn't rule out a turn north today...and then NNE....at all....

the CDO has decreased...perhaps she is in a permanent weakening state....

rick, you've got about zero model support for that track. you're making trends out of wiggles... but your intensity makes more sense. -HF