(Storm Tracker)

Thu Sep 22 2005 11:05 AM

Re: east of where it should be by 60 miles

Increasingly bad news for LA - the new 12Z NOGAPS has trended east and now shows landfall about 50 miles east of the LA/TX line. Still a good consensus from the other 12Z models further west near Houston/Gal, but the NOGAPS consistently to me is a better model and if it has any bias, it tends to hold ridges a lttle too strong. If I remember correctly, just 24 hours ago, this model had landfall down along the south TX coast.

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/early1.png

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