Ron Basso
(Storm Tracker)
Thu Sep 22 2005 11:05 AM
Re: east of where it should be by 60 miles

Increasingly bad news for LA - the new 12Z NOGAPS has trended east and now shows landfall about 50 miles east of the LA/TX line. Still a good consensus from the other 12Z models further west near Houston/Gal, but the NOGAPS consistently to me is a better model and if it has any bias, it tends to hold ridges a lttle too strong. If I remember correctly, just 24 hours ago, this model had landfall down along the south TX coast.

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/early1.png


Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 1920x1080+ resolution.
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center.