Allison
(Weather Guru)
Thu Sep 22 2005 05:09 PM
Steering Currents

As has been discussed for many days now, NHC is forecasting the high over Texas to slide east...

"A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER NORTHERN TEXAS/OKLAHOMA IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EASTWARD ALLOWING RITA TO TAKE A MORE NORTHWESTERLY AND NORTHERLY TRACK. THE EASTWARD SHIFT OF THE HIGH IS FORECAST BY ALL GLOBAL MODELS...RESULTING IN TRACK GUIDANCE CONSISTENTLY TURNING THE HURRICANE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH TOWARD THE UPPER-TEXAS OR THE WESTERN LOUISIANA
COASTS."


But in watching Dr. Neil Frank's report last night, his explanation is that the high over TX/OK is sliding west, and a second high is building over the Great Lakes region... pushing Rita into Texas... and I have to say, in looking at the WV loop , that high over Texas really doesn't look like it's making any sort of move to the east...

The result is the same, really, but it's interesting how opinions can differ over data that seems, in my amature opinion at least, to be rather objective in nature....

Thoughts?



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