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The ERWC is almost done, but the Eye is still open East (last vortex I saw). Once it is a closed eye again, you'll see the deepening. It's going to strengthen so long as it is over the eddy, and only once it leaves, will we see how disturbed the water temps are in her path. She has this one shot (my opinion) to deepen further. Once she enters shallower waters, she'll start weakening. At present, there isn't enough shear or dry air to break her down. We'll have to wait for colder/shallower water to do that. I also see a NW motion and not enough trend to call it more northward than that. She will turn more NNW, but I don't believe that time to be now. YMMV SPSFD |