Here is a link to the latest forecast track from some of the models:

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_18.gif

There is a clustering of forecast tracks near/just north of Galveston. The GFS, which is not plotted on that map, is much further north. The NOGAPS, which is also not plotted, takes the system very close to Galveston. Interesting to note that one model (the A98E) stalls the system off the coast, which is a remote possibility, but one that can't be discounted if the steering currents collapse as depicted in the GFS (which brings the system onshore before stalling it).

An extrapolation of the current movement takes the system very close to Galveston. Something that is important to remember here is that while the track of the system has consistently been a little north of the forecast track so far, the forecast track itself starts to bend to the north in about 6-12 hours. There is no guarantee that Rita will start bending further north when the forecast says it will, or that it will bend further north at all anytime soon.

I am not trying to be inflammatory about insisting that the storm could still hit the Houston/Galveston area, I just want to make sure that anyone there doesn't let their guard down, since the buzz seems to favor a more northern track at the moment.